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July 8, 2014
Inversion not necessary for recession
A repeated theme on financial-TV in recent weeks is that there cannot be a recession without a yield-curve inversion first because in each of the last 6 recessions...
July 5, 2014
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July 1, 2014
Is this inflationary?
Inflation is a hot topic once again, yet, we are seeing significant deflation in grains:
June 20, 2014
Inflation lags economics by about 6 months
Earlier in the week, we mentioned that inflation lags economics by about 6 months in this...
June 17, 2014
Quick Market Comment: The confluence of 3 mis-understood factors causes mis-placed rate rise alarm
There is a strain of thinking in the last...
June 6, 2014
BackgroundKnowing when the Fed will raise rates is a matter of determining when the spare capacity in the economy (slack) will be eliminated, and therefore, when inflation pressures will develop. ...
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